Saturday, November 7, 2015

The perfect laptop is [almost] here

Remember this old post where I recommended to not buy a new laptop but wait? Well the waiting is almost over. The recently announced Microsoft SurfaceBook is pretty darn close. You have to get the top end model to meet my prediction but lets compare:


My Prediction
Microsoft SurfaceBook
Screen
10”
13.5”
CPU
Core i5
2.4-GHz Skylake Intel Core i5-6300U or
2.6-GHz Skylake Intel Core i7-6600U
GPU
Dedicated
Nvidia Maxwell based GPU with 1GB GDDR5 memory available in the keyboard dock
RAM
8GB
8GB or 16GB
SSD
1TB
128GB, 256GB, 512GB, or 1TB
Battery life
10 hours
“Up to 12 hours of video playback”
10 hours of battery in the dock plus 2 hours in the tablet
Weight
1 pound
3.5 pounds with keyboard
1.6 pounds with just tablet
Price
$1000
$1500 - $3200

Pretty close, right? There are three things that keep this from being perfect:
  1. The screen is too big for a tablet. iPad Pro has the same problem.
  2. The battery is too small in tablet mode.
  3. The cost is too high.
If I had $3200 to burn I would buy this today. The performance difference between the available i5 and i7 processors is pretty small so if you can survive with only 256GB of storage and don't need a dedicated GPU then the $1699 model with only 8GB of memory is still a solid choice to replace your existing laptop and even your desktop. The add-on surface dock for $199 gives you two mini display ports, a Gigabit Ethernet port, four high-speed USB 3.0 ports, and an audio output so when at home you get the 13.5" tablet screen plus two external monitors.

Windows 10 makes an excellent operating system for this device as well. If you are coming from Windows 7 there is a bit of a learning curve to adapt to the new start menu. If you are coming from Windows 8, well, upgrade immediately as Windows 10 corrects all the big problems with Windows 8 returning the start menu and allowing you to run the Metro apps in windowed mode. The fact that you can get the same user interface on desktop, laptop, tablet, and phone is pretty amazing and puts Microsoft officially out in front of Apple for the first time in a long time. 

If you really need a new laptop now then consider the $1699 SurfaceBook with the $199 dock; you won't find better available this year.

If you can hold out a little longer then do. Microsoft has taken a page out of Google's book. Google offers the Nexus phone and tablets as reference products that set the standard for other manufacturers to meet. Most people will never buy a Nexus phone because they are more costly without the carrier subsidies. Similarly most people should not buy the currently overpriced SurfaceBook. Instead, wait until next year when you see Dell and Asus offering less expensive options with smaller screens and less total weight. 

Saturday, September 12, 2015

2015 Fall iPhone and iPad release: What's new and what's not

So here it is September and time for the new iPhone release event for the year from Apple. There was nothing revolutionary released today and it was IMHO a tad bit disappointing to see the direction Apple's product roadmaps are going.

Warning, I write a lot, here is an index to skip past the bits that are not interesting to the bits that are:



While I am at heart a PC guy I am by no means an Apple hater. I own a 1st generation iPad mini which I love and my primary workstation at Technicolor is a 27" iMac which is my preference to use for everything other then Microsoft Office applications and network file management. At my recommendation my wife got an iPhone 6 earlier this year and the other two phones in my family plan are both iPhone 5c models.

To prove I am not a hater I will even start this post with what was released today that was shiny and new:

The new iPhone 6s is pretty much just the same as the 2014 iPhone 6 in every way but two things. First, you can now get it in pink, er rose gold, with a charging cradle that matches the color of the phone. Rose gold is new.

The new iPhone 6s now has a taptonic feedback engine under the screen. This means the screen can detect how hard you are pressing the screen and provide a little vibration as feedback so that your finger feels the touch. This technology is a neat gimmick and is one of those innovative technologies that only Apple could pull off and pull off well. It is not entirely a new technology as Apple put it in the touchpad on the Macbook line last year but putting it under a touch screen display is new so I give credit where credit is due. Apple gave it a new name too: 3D Touch. The name is new.

Of course the big announcement of the day (if you ask Tim Cook) was the 12.9" iPad Pro. This is the largest tablet ever from Apple. The sheer size of it is new. Unfortunately it still runs only iOS even though it has the computing power under the hood to run full desktop operating systems. This means it is still limited to the touch screen interface and very limited multi-tasking. There were improvements to iOS 9 but not so much that one would ever choose an iPad instead of a desktop or laptop computer. The biggest iPad ever is new.

The real big announcement (if you ask me) was the new AppleTV box. This is the first year they have released a new AppleTV in the fall announcement so the timing is new. It is clear from the way that they went through the announcement that Apple is taking this product seriously giving it the time it deserves in the spotlight. Apple added Siri to AppleTV for searching and navigating channels. Siri is a gimmick but a well done gimmick and a voice controlled TV (that works well) is new. Sorry, XBox One, I don't think you got it right with your stalker interface. AppleTV is now the only real contender to Roku in the market. With an AppleTV you can get HBO Now without a television provider subscription and Hulu Plus through which you can subscribe to Showtime without a television provider subscription. Comcast, Verizon, Time Warner, and DirecTV please take note that this is the future of TV; get on the bandwagon now while there is still room for your large posteriors.

So what was released today that was not great, not so much innovative, and generally just not new?

For the life of me I can't figure out what was new in watchOS 2. There are more color and band options this year including pink, er rose gold, and a couple new features like nightstand mode and time travel (not like the TARDIS). I guess since it is a new year they upversioned the OS with some new feature that app developers can access. I would not have called it version 2; that should just have been a version 1.1.

With a new year and updated hardware with more resolution and an updated OS with more features Apple needed a new CPU, the A9X. Yes, this is the 3rd generation 64-bit Apple mobile processor and it may have 1.8x CPU performance and 2x GPU performance compared to the A8X in iPad Air 2 but CPU performance doubles every year anyway. A faster CPU is really not new.

With a new year and updated hardware Apple also needed an operating system upgrade. Every year there is a new version of iOS, that is really not a new thing. What are the new features in iOS? A shortcut bar, new built-in apps, and multi-tasking. The shortcut bar and the updated apps are nice but there are little updates like this every year and even in lesser version upgrades. The last version iOS 8.1 upgrade offered a screen reader which can read your eBook for you using Siri's voice which IMHO is a much bigger update then a shortcut bar or new apps. Then there is the "multi-tasking". Slide over, split view, and picture-in-picture are three different gimmicks that will allow you to use two apps at the same time. I wouldn't call that multi-tasking. Duo-tasking is more like it. There was more multi-tasking in Windows 3.1 (released in 1992) and MacOS 5 (released in 1987). Multi-tasking is not new and neither really is iOS9.

Smart keyboard? What is smart about it? Was it smart for Apple to copy Microsoft Surface and offer a keyboard cover? Ok, well maybe that was smart but Apple used to be an innovator and leader in the market. It is disheartening to see Apple become a follower. The new "smart connector" that attaches keyboard to power and data is clever and well done but also not something new. PC tablet makers have been fiddling with laptop / tablet hybrids the last few years that do all that and even offer a backup battery and additional connectors inside the detachable keyboard. A keyboard cover is hardly new.

Apple pencil is a stylus. Steve Jobs always said that the human hand comes pre-configured with 10 styluses already so there is no need for another. Steve is not in charge any more so this year Apple puts out a $99 stylus that works with a single device which will cost you no less then $799. This may be the best stylus ever designed but you better have a real need for it to justify a thousand dollar replacement for pencil and paper. Apple demoed some very high precision artwork and CAD apps for it but the people doing this kind of work already have high precision Wacom tablets and 30" professional monitors; these folks are really not going to be happy doing this kind of work on a 13" screen. BTW Wacom also offers a really nice stylus that works on all capacitive touch screens for only $60. An expensive fancy stylus is not new.

And what about all of the other iPads that are not "Pro"? Does that make them amateur? This year Apple put all of their attention into the iPad Pro and literally ignored the other iPad models. iPad Air and iPad Air 2 get a $100 price reduction this year and nothing else, not even rose gold. iPad Mini 4 gets the guts of the iPad Air 2 which means A8X processor and fingerprint scanner but it should have gotten that last year. In the Steve Jobs years Apple was not afraid to cannibalize their own markets, releasing iPhone directly competing with iPod and then continuing to upgrade iPod Touch with all the latest goodies available in the iPhone. Since last year the trend for Apple has been to protect the market for the new hotness by intentionally ignoring upgrades on the old and busted. This year every iPad but the iPad Pro is suddenly the old and busted.

And what about the upgrades to iPhone 6? The 6s and 6s Plus got the 3D touch and pink paint job but are in all other ways just the same. There was no highly anticipated 4" iPhone 6c and nothing innovative about the s models. These phones should have been labelled s6 and s6 Plus for "still 6" and "still 6 Plus". They are in almost every way exactly the same as last year's iPhones and join the amateur iPads now in the rank of the old and busted.

It was astounding to me that iCloud got stage time this year for paid storage upgrades. All of the other cloud storage solutions have been offering more storage for cheaper then Apple for years now. A 1TB cloud storage upgrade is not new.

Ok, so what should Apple have released this year? What would I have done if I were directing Apple product management? Well first and foremost the 2015 Fall product release should not have been focused on the biggest and most expensive iPad ever. Instead, this product release should have been focused on the Apple pencil. Breaking the mold of a Steve Jobs run Apple and releasing a stylus should have been the first thing they talked about at the event before rolling into the iPad lineup. The first demo of the pencil should have been on the iPad Mini 4 which could have been in all ways the same as what was actually released except with support for Apple Pencil. Following iPad Mini 4 should have been iPad Air 3 with an A9X processor and support for Apple Pencil. Then roll into iPad Pro showing the amazing things you can do with Apple Pencil on iPad Pro. The iPad Pro should also have come with something else entirely new. iPad Pro should have been offered with a mobile version of OS X with full support for all Apple Desktop apps and support for pointing devices. Connect a bluetooth pointing device (mouse) and a cursor appears allowing you to use it just like a laptop. The keyboard cover is a nice gimmick but they should have also offered a full keyboard dock that contains a trackpad, backup battery, and additional I/O ports. Put the iPad Pro in the keyboard dock and put it next to a MacBook and you would be hard pressed to tell the difference. But wait, there is more! That mobile version of OS X and the full version of OS X should get support for running iOS apps (in a window or full screened) so that new iPad still runs all of the apps you are used to and then they just eliminate the pre-installed redundant desktop applications like iTunes favoring the lightweight iOS versions instead. Microsoft has already gone through this transition with the abysmal metro / tablet apps in Windows 8 that you can now run in traditional windowed desktop mode in Windows 10. As it stands the iPad Pro is a 12.9" retina display version of Microsoft Surface RT with a fancy stylus option. The Surface Pro and countless other Window 10 tablets that will be released over the course of the next year will come with built-in support for all legacy Windows desktop applications. Apple is falling behind Microsoft lacking a unified experience like Windows 10 which offers with the same interface and apps available on desktop, laptop, and mobile devices.

To round out this article I will give my personal computing recommendations for the year.

First, if you do not already have a primary desktop or laptop computer then start with a good quality desktop computer. If you like Apple desktops then the 2014 line of iMacs are still quite excellent and you can even get one with a beautiful 5K display. If you don't have iMac budget then get a good desktop PC with an i5 or i7 processor. Don't buy a laptop / notebook computer. If you need to sometimes take your work on the go then a tablet is good enough companion device for now, just not good enough to be your primary personal computing device.

If you are looking to buy your first tablet then get either the iPad Air 2 or iPad Mini 4 depending on your size preference. I have an iPad Mini now which I love because I can fit it in my front pocket and it mounts nicely on the dashboard of my commuter car without blocking my view of the road. Don't buy an Android tablet, you will wish you got an iPad instead.

If your contract is up and you are in the market for a phone then consider your options carefully. Do not get a 6s or 6s Plus. The best phone to get at the moment would be the iPhone 6 which just got $100 cheaper. If you are not interested in the fingerprint scanner or Apple Pay then the iPhone 5c is a smaller and even less expensive choice that will work just fine as well. If you are familiar with Android devices and Google applications then consider Android. The Nexus 5X and 6X come out next month and are just as good as iPhone 6s and 6s Plus. The new Moto X is another solid offering just as good as a 6s. Don't buy a Samsung phone or a Windows phone.

If you can wait before forging into the laptop / tablet market or upgrading your current laptop / tablet then wait. Later this year and early next year you can expect to see some very solid Window 10 tablet options. Look for these specs: 7" - 12" screen, i5 or i7 CPU, 8-16 GB RAM, 1TB SSD, and 8 hour battery life for no more theb $1000. Think about that. The Windows 10 tablet you will be able to buy soon will be twice as powerful as iPad Pro for the same price and will run all of your desktop apps. 

Monday, March 9, 2015

The 2015 Apple Watch or Wait, did you hear about HBO?

If you have been following my blog (yes, I am talking to both of you) then you know that I have been following Apple's progress with the Apple Watch since they did not release one amidst all of the Android wearables that made such a buzz in 2013. Also you would know that I am a big proponent of the unplugging of your television.

That made today, March 9, 2015 a very interesting day for me since both of these topics coalesced into Apple's Spring Forward event.

So first there was the watch. Apple Watch carried no surprises and was just as predicted. It is tied to your iPhone or WiFi for it's internet connection and makes sure the wearer never again has to reach into his or her pocket for their phone just to tell what time it is. Wow. Ok, so there are a couple other nice things about it as well. The Apple Watch is very good for the health conscious with lots of gimmicks to monitor heart rate and let you know when it is time to get up and walk around before your body stagnates from living a sedentary life, The Apple Watch is also the best looking smart watch money can buy. In case you missed it, that was the couple nice things... nag you about your health and looks real purty. Apple is moving out of the realm of personal electronics and into the jewelry market. My prediction is that the best money maker will be the 18k gold Apple Watch Edition going to the rich that can afford to drop $10,000 on a piece of jewelry. In fact there is not really that much great jewelry around for men to wear so those high class fellows will now have something to buy for themselves instead of another pair of diamond cuff links.

As I said in Why no iWatch in 2013? and The 2015 Apple Watch is proof that Steve Jobs is dead the critical technology that was missing in 2013 and is missing still now is the ability for a watch to be a standalone communication device. I will summarize this into three key technologies that are missing for a smart watch to be the "next iPhone" or the "next iPad" which, in their day, revolutionized personal computing as we knew it:

  1. The battery technology for a very small battery that weighs only a few ounces to carry enough power to run a cellular wireless radio for 18 hours without a recharge to allow for true "all day battery life" with moderate bandwidth usage. You are not going to be streaming HD video on a screen with 340x272 resolution but you will stream music at a couple hundred kilobits per second, check your email and stock prices, and do the occasional facetime video call.
  2. Seamless wireless charging. The way to charge the 2015 Apple Watch is to  "simply hold the connector near the back of the watch, where magnets cause it to snap into place automatically". Look at the thing; it is not the least bit elegant. Apple Watch needs to be able to charge wirelessly from a charging access point plugged into the wall 15-30 feet away so all you need worry about is getting into the bedroom where you left it plugged in for a few hours a day. The thing should also be smart enough to learn your habits and warn you if it is about time for charging and you are at home the charger is not sensed when it usually is around so you can dig through the cables under the desk and see if one of the pets ran through wrecking electrical cord havoc again.
  3. The right wearable headset that is as visually appealing as functional. Clearly no one is holding their wrist to their ear to talk and not just every call can be a speakerphone affair. Even the bejeweled earpieces that musical performers wear at awards shows are still pretty gawky looking for everyday use. For audio only we need a bluetooth earpiece as small and attractive as an earring yet still functional. It would even work to get a unit small enough to fit behind the ear that tucked the audio piece near the ear canal and draped a tiny camera over the top of the ear or even something google glass like that offers a tiny personal viewscreen for augmented reality. 
During Spring Forward Apple also released the details of this year's line of laptops. Nothing surprising there either, just thinner and lighter with a better keyboard and better trackpad. Just more of the same. 

Now here was the real big deal. Right at the beginning of the event they brought out HBO CEO Richard Plepler to drop the real bomb. The HBO Now service will launch in April in time for the season premier of Game Of Thrones and be exclusive to Apple devices for 3 months. HBO Now will not require you to have a cable or satellite service account; you just pay your $14.99 a month to HBO and get access to their entire catalog of content on demand as well as new releases of their exclusive content. $14.99 may seem like a high price but if you love HBO content then now is the time to unplug and send a message to Comcast, Time Warner Cable, DirecTV, and Verizon that you don't want to pay $100 a month for their bundled channel packages any more. Pay HBO to support the model. Once the cable providers have their backs broken by services like this they will either wise up and start offering customized channel bundles or they will go the way of the record store chains and dinosaurs.